Our Mission

The 1point5 Project aims to focus and amplify the voices of those working towards a 1.5°C world. This not-for-profit is generously supported by Temple and various generous souls who have contributed time, money and skills.

Our Story

One morning in 2018, Paul woke up and read an article in The Guardian about the loss of biodiversity triggered by climate change. This was a penny-drop moment to the seriousness of climate change and the inadequacy of the actions being taken to avoid the worst outcomes. 

In addition he observed that in many cases people were confused about what actions would have the most impact. He wanted to know what people could focus on to really make a difference.

Paul decided to use the same skills he uses in his day job to analyse New Zealand’s emissions and identify the most pragmatic path to the 1.5°C future that New Zealand has committed to under the Zero Carbon Act of 2019.

Paul’s diagnostic analysis explored current New Zealand emissions and took into consideration available technologies, the economics of these technologies, politics and emerging legislation. And somewhere in 2019, the work became The 1point5 Project, a not-for-profit that aims to focus and amplify the voices of those working towards a 1.5°C world

To achieve a 1.5°C world, Paul’s analysis showed that New Zealand must reduce its carbon-equivalent emissions by around 60% from 2020 levels by 2030. Doing this requires, amongst other things, the almost complete decarbonisation of road transport by 2030. All paths to 1.5°C are difficult but the analysis suggests this is the least hard of a bunch of hard options for New Zealand. And its achievable if New Zealand deploys a pick-n-mix of solutions that already exist around the world today.

The 1point5 Project shouldn’t be needed and let’s hope that soon it won’t be. 

The Climate Change Commission does great work however recent litigation has shown they don’t consider they’re on the hook for delivering a path for New Zealand that is consistent with a 1.5C future. Moreover Justice Mallon found that the Commision’s advice was “…potentially misleading (particularly lay readers or anyone without the time to read the Advice in its full detail) to the extent that it could be interpreted as advice that reductions of 36 per cent below 2005 gross levels would be compatible with the IPCC 1.5 ̊C global pathways and therefore the 1.5 ̊C global effort.”

And the politicians aren’t always faithfully representing we’re were at.

So the 1point5 Project provides independent commentary on what a 1.5C future might look like.  

So The 1point5 Project’s role is to help focus the efforts of change agents on the stuff that makes a difference, and amplify their voices by helping them better understand New Zealander’s climate sentiment and the advocacy tools and approaches that support climate change mitigation.

Paul is often asked to present to and support leading NGOs, company boards and management teams. He has delivered and tested the analysis in dozens of workshops and seminars in New Zealand over 2019 to 2023. The work continues to evolve as new information becomes available. 

Please check out the Resources page and Contact us if we can help.

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Dr. Paul Winton

Paul Winton has a PhD in engineering, is a former McKinsey & Company consultant and a founder of Temple Capital Investment Specialists. His day job is to advise funds and corporates on investments and acquisitions, typically in industries undergoing or on the cusp of disruptive change. 

For the past year he has been working on identifying the most pragmatic path for New Zealand to meet its obligations under a 1.5°C scenario as outlined in the Zero Carbon Act of 2019.